Why did electricity prices increase? – G&T explains the reasons for th...
Retail tariffs are set by the Georgian National Energy and Water
Supply Regulatory Commission (GNERC) under a predefined and
transparent methodology. The current increase is mainly driven by two
factors: higher investment plans and rising electricity procurement
costs.The tariff increase directly raises utility costs for both
households and those businesses that purchase electricity on the
retail market. In our view, the change will also have several
additional effects: The tariff increase will add around 0.7
percentage points to the overall price level (inflation). Higher
investment spending will support infrastructure upgrades and help
reduce outage frequency, especially in the regions. More expensive
electricity will strengthen business interest in self-generation, as
was seen after the sharp tariff increase in 2021. Rehabilitation of
the transmission network and substations may also reduce
grid-connection costs for small power plants. It is important to note
that the change in the retail tariff does not determine the selling
price of power plants. Given the structure of Georgia’s electricity
market, generation assets sell electricity on the wholesale market,
while the retail tariff is formed on the basis of those underlying
costs. Accordingly, wholesale prices change first, and the retail
tariff then reflects these changes.The retail tariff mainly consists
of 3 parts - the transmission infrastructure tariff, the electricity
procurement cost, and state taxes. The first two components made the
largest contribution to the increase in the final retail tariff.1.
Infrastructure componentThe infrastructure component reflects the cost
of rehabilitation, reinforcement, and expansion of transmission lines,
substations, and the distribution network. Accordingly, in both
distribution areas, a significant part of the tariff increase is
linked to higher investment in the grid.In the regions, a major factor
is Energo-Pro Georgia’s 2026-30 investment plan. During this period,
the company will invest about GEL 200 mn per year on average,
amounting to more than GEL 1 bn in total. The main purpose of these
investments is to rehabilitate the network, improve service quality,
and reduce outages.In Tbilisi, more than GEL 400 mn of investment is
planned in the Telasi network over the next 5 years. These funds will
be directed toward connecting new districts to the grid, replacing old
meters, and upgrading existing infrastructure.In addition, an
important part of the infrastructure component is the tariff of the
Georgian State Electrosystem (GSE), which was already increased in
2025 and remains in force through end-2026. At the same time, GSE
plans to update its investment plan this year, which may become an
additional, though relatively small, source of tariff pressure in the
coming years.2. Electricity procurement costThe second main component
of the tariff is the price at which suppliers purchase electricity.
This component increased for several reasons: Electricity consumption
is rising, and additional demand is met by relatively expensive
resources. Another important factor is the increase in the Enguri and
Vardnili tariffs. Their tariff rose by 66% from January 2025. These
plants are among the cheapest resources in the system and play an
important role in keeping household tariffs relatively low. However,
the share of Enguri-Vardnili in meeting retail consumption has been
declining over time, driven by higher consumption, hydrological
conditions, and demand dynamics in Abkhazia. In addition, the tariffs
of Khrami 1 and Khrami 2 increased from 2026. These plants’
government-agreed tariff 4 Georgia │ Energy Retail tariff growth
April 1, 2026 arrangements expired, and they moved under GNERC
regulation, which resulted in higher tariffs. The price and volume of
balancing electricity purchases also increased. This was driven by the
removal of gas subsidies for thermal power plants, more expensive
imports, and the commissioning of new plants. Accordingly, the
increase in the retail tariff cannot be explained only by grid
investment costs - a key factor is also the rise in electricity
procurement costs. 3. VATThe final retail tariff also includes value
added tax, which is directed to the state budget.
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