Tbilisi (GBC) – Galt&Taggart forecasts average annual inflation at 3.7% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026.

In September 2025, Georgia’s annual inflation reached 4.8%, up from 4.6% in August.

The main contribution came from domestic inflation, which increased by 6.3% y/y (Aug: 6.6%), followed by mixed-goods inflation, which accelerated to 7.8% y/y (Aug: 6.3%). In contrast, imported goods prices declined further by 1.1% y/y.

Meanwhile, core inflation, excluding food, energy, and tobacco, eased to 2.1% y/y in Sep-25, down from 2.8% posted in previous month.

By categories, annual inflation in Sep-25 was largely driven by price increases in food and non-alcoholic beverages (+11.9% y/y, +3.89ppts), healthcare (+9.0% y/y, +0.76ppts), alcoholic beverages & tobacco (+4.1% y/y, +0.26ppts) and hotels & restaurants (+7.1% y/y, +0.23ppts) categories. Meanwhile, deflation was recorded in transport (-2.1% y/y, -0.26ppts), furnishings, household equipment & maintenance (-3.7% y/y, -0.21ppts), communication (-4.2% y/y, -0.14ppts) and clothing & footwear (-2.0% y/y, -0.13ppts).