Tbilisi (GBC) – In May 2026, electricity exports in Georgia decreased by 73.1% and amounted to 0.05 TWh, due to which the electrosystem limited the operation of power plants to protect the supply-demand balance. This is stated in the monthly review of the Galt & Taggart energy market.
According to the document, last month, domestic consumption increased by 3.8% year-on-year and amounted to 1.1 TWh, however, due to a sharp decline in exports, total demand in the market decreased by 8.6% (to 1.2 TWh). The investment bank explains that May is historically an export month, which is due to the seasonality of hydropower plants, however, due to the forced limitation of generation this year, local production has decreased by 9.5% annually.
The sharp decline in exports was caused by a decrease in prices on the Turkish market to a historical minimum - an average of 1.8 US cents/kWh - which, as Galt & Taggart researchers note, is associated with favorable hydrological conditions and an increase in solar generation. The increase in solar capacity in Turkey may maintain pressure on summer prices in the future, although the effect will also depend on market and hydrological conditions.
According to data from the 5 months of 2026, local electricity consumption in Georgia increased by 6.1% annually and amounted to 6.2 TWh. The share of imports and thermal generation in total supply was 36.3% (vs. 31.1% in 5 months of 2025). Increased import dependence in January-April and reduced exports in May highlight Georgia's seasonal challenges.
Overall, the 2026 data indicate the need to develop generation facilities that respond to Georgia's seasonal challenges, such as reservoir hydropower plants and wind farms. In addition, the data highlight the importance of developing energy storage and export infrastructure.
Domestic consumption growth in all categories
According to the Galt & Taggart study, domestic consumption increased by 3.8% annually and amounted to 1.1 TWh. Annual growth was recorded in all segments:
- Abkhazia region: +6.6%
- Direct consumers: +5.8%
- Retail consumers: +2.1%
The increase in consumption is associated with both climatic factors and the activation of energy-intensive enterprises.
In addition, in May 2026, hydropower generation decreased by 9.9% annually and amounted to 1.2 TWh, which is 97.5% of total supply. The decrease is associated with climatic conditions and, at the same time, generation restrictions imposed by the system operator. These restrictions became necessary to protect the balance between demand and supply. Without generation restrictions, supply would exceed demand, including the local market and exports.
There is no publicly available information on the exact scope of the restrictions implemented in May.
Wind and solar generation grew by 55.8% year-on-year, although its share in total supply was still a small 1%. The increase is associated with the commissioning of the 18.7 MW “Zemo Wind Station” in April and new solar plants added by the end of 2025 (totaling 10.8 MW).
Thermal plants, in accordance with the seasonality characteristic of May, were not operating.
Galt & Taggart researchers expect generation restrictions to continue in June-July, although to a lesser extent, because:
Historically, June and July are characterized by less surplus than May.
ESCO has signed a barter agreement with Turkey, within the framework of which it will export electricity to Turkey during May-July, and import in September-November. This transaction will increase the volume of exports and aggregate demand, thereby reducing generation constraints in the June-July period.
The export volume to be implemented under the barter will be purchased by ESCO at 4.021 tetri per kWh from power plants that would otherwise have to curtail generation (as a result of the GSE decree). The exact commercial terms of the barter agreement, including the proportion of exports and offset imports, are not publicly known.