Tbilisi (GBC) - Georgian wine production is expected to reach around 2.1 million hectoliters in 2025, 14% below the record high of 2024, but still 2% above the five-year average.

According to preliminary data from the International Organization of Vine and Wine (OIV), the decline in production is due to an unusually abundant harvest in 2024, while favorable weather in 2025 allowed the country to maintain production close to the high level of recent years.

Regional trends

Results in the Northern Hemisphere (outside the European Union) are mixed.

Russian wine production is around 5.1 million hectoliters, which is at the same level as in 2024 and 9% above the five-year average. Moldova, after droughts and frosts in 2024, showed an 18% increase in production (1.4 million hectolitres), driven by abundant spring rainfall.

Production in the European Union is 140 million hectolitres, up 2.1 million hectolitres (+2%) compared to 2024, but 8% below the five-year average. Italy (47.4 million hectolitres) has regained its position as the world’s largest producer, while France (35.9 million hectolitres) and Spain (29.4 million hectolitres) are experiencing historically low yields due to climate stress, drought and disease.

Global outlook

Global wine production is forecast to reach 232 million hectolitres in 2025. This is 3% higher than the historical low of 2024, but still 7% below the average of the last five years.

USA: Production increased to 21.7 million tons (+3%), but still below the historical peak.

Southern Hemisphere: Production increased by 7% (49 million tons). Australia (11.6 million tons) and New Zealand (3.7 million tons) showed increases, while Chile’s production decreased by 10% due to water shortages.

Market balance

According to the OIV, production has been below average for the third consecutive year, reducing pressure on stocks amid falling global demand. Climate change remains a major factor determining global production levels.